De prijzen voor elektriciteit en aardgas zijn in april dit jaar gedaald, maar dat betekent niet dat energie goedkoop is geworden. Huishoudens betalen meer voor energie dan een jaar geleden. Dat blijkt uit de Barometer Energie van Pricewise en duiding van energie-analist Jilles van den Beukel. CBS bevestigt de daling van de stroom- en gasprijzen over april met 3,2 procent.
“De energieprijzen zijn in april verder gedaald. Dat vertaalt zich door in een lagere rekening. Toch wordt het lagere kostenniveau van het voorjaar 2024 nog steeds niet gehaald. Bij de prijzen van één jaar vast is het verschil voor elektriciteit klein, de gasprijs ligt nog wel hoger dan een jaar terug en dat kan flink schelen in de portemonnee,” zegt Hans de Kok, directeur van Pricewise.
Wat betekent dit voor huishoudens?
Een huishouden met een gasverbruik van 1.210 kuub, zoals een vrijstaande woning in het Friese Achtkarspelen, voelt de actuele gasprijs in de portemonnee door een jaarrekening van meer dan tweeduizend euro, waarbij is gekeken naar de laagste prijs.
Een tussenwoning in Amsterdam met een laag verbruik van 760 kuub gas heeft een aanzienlijk lagere energierekening (rond de 1.400 euro per jaar als laagste prijs). Als het gasverbruik op nul ligt, zoals bij een grote vrijstaande aardgasloze woning met veel zonnepanelen, is de energierekening met zo’n 1.500 euro per jaar nauwelijks hoger.
Stroom wordt langzaam weer goedkoper
De stroomprijzen daalden in april, net als in de voorgaande maand. Vooral de vaste prijs voor één jaar daalde fors, met 5,7 procent ten opzichte van de maand maart. De vaste stroomprijs voor drie jaar daalde met 3,8 procent minder hard, maar is nu wel nipt het goedkoopste. Het variabele prijscontract daalde het minst, met 3,0 procent. Het was eind april per kWh net zo duur als het éénjarige vaste prijscontract.
Vergeleken met een jaar geleden vertonen de stroomprijzen grote verschillen in hun hoogte en ontwikkeling. De variabele stroomprijs steeg het meeste met ruim 20 procent, terwijl de eenjarige vaste prijs nauwelijks verschilde met dat van vorig jaar. De stroomprijs voor drie jaar vast daalde sterk, met 15 procent. Waren de prijsverschillen vorig jaar nog groot, nu ontlopen de tarieven elkaar nauwelijks, ondanks dat de mutaties sterk verschillen.
Interactieve grafiek voor elektriciteit
Download hier de code voor de interactieve grafiek elektriciteit
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%Y","ticklabelmode":"period"},"title":{"text":"gemiddelde leveringstarieven elektriciteit (exclusief belastingen)","x":0.25},"yaxis":{"title":{"text":"prijs per kWh"},"tickprefix":"\u20ac"},"images":[{"sizex":0.15,"sizey":0.15,"source":"https:\u002f\u002fcdn2.pricewise.nl\u002fresources\u002fmain\u002fsvg\u002flogo_min.svg","x":0.01,"xanchor":"right","xref":"paper","y":1.15,"yanchor":"bottom","yref":"paper"}]}, {"responsive": true} ) }; </script> </div>Gasprijzen nog hoger
De gasprijzen zijn in april verder gedaald ten opzichte van de maand ervoor. De éénjarige vasteprijs daalde het meeste met 7,5 procent en is eind april met een ‘kale’ prijs van 0,47 euro per kuub het goedkoopst. De drie jaar vaste gasprijs daalde met 3,4 procent, de variabele prijs verminderde met 3,1 procent.
De gasprijzen liggen nog steeds op een relatief hoog niveau, vergeleken met een jaar geleden. Vooral de variabele gasprijs is met een stijging van 27 procent in een jaar duurder dan in april 2024. Dat geldt ook voor de drie jaar vaste gasprijs: die nam met 23 procent toe. De éénjarige vaste prijs steeg in een jaar met 16 procent.
De variabele en vaste prijzen liggen niet zover uiteen voor stroom, maar voor gas juist wel. Het goedkoopste gascontract is momenteel één jaar vast.
Interactieve grafiek voor gas
Download hier de code voor de interactieve grafiek gas
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%Y","ticklabelmode":"period"},"title":{"text":"gemiddelde leveringstarieven gas (exclusief belastingen)","x":0.1},"yaxis":{"title":{"text":"prijs per m\u00b3"},"tickprefix":"\u20ac"},"images":[{"sizex":0.15,"sizey":0.15,"source":"https:\u002f\u002fcdn2.pricewise.nl\u002fresources\u002fmain\u002fsvg\u002flogo_min.svg","x":0.01,"xanchor":"right","xref":"paper","y":1.15,"yanchor":"bottom","yref":"paper"}]}, {"responsive": true} ) }; </script> </div>Energie-analist Jilles van den Beukel: ” De gasprijs op de groothandelsmarkt daalde in april tot onder de 35 euro per megawattuur (MWh). Dat is lager dan afgelopen winter, toen de prijs schommelde rond de 50 euro per MWh. Maar voor de gascrisis van 2022 was de groothandelsprijs lager, met een waarde van meestal rond de 20 euro per MWh.”
“Oorzaken voor de daling in april waren het relatief zachte weer en de signalen dat de Europese regulering voor het vullen van de gasopslagen komende zomer wat wordt versoepeld. De verwachting blijft dat de groothandelsprijs voor gas komende jaren geleidelijk gaat dalen, omdat er meer LNG (vloeibaar aardgas) op de markt komt, aldus Jilles.”
Vaste prijs beste keuze
Gezien de beweeglijke inkoopmarkten, onrustige geopolitieke sferen, wisselkoersen en lage gasreserves, ligt de keuze voor een vaste prijs voor energie nog steeds voor de hand. Ook hierbij is het verstandig om een prijsvergelijker te raadplegen en te oriënteren voor het best passende aanbod. Zo kunnen bijvoorbeeld ook de implicaties van terugleverkosten voor zonnepanelen beter worden ingeschat.
“Vanwege de recente dalingen kan het zeker lonen om nu de prijs vast te zetten voor één jaar óf drie jaar”, zegt De Kok. “Gelet op alle rumoer op het wereldtoneel geeft dat in ieder geval zekerheid en duidelijkheid.”
Kabinet werkt aan verlichting voor 2026
De energierekening blijft voor de meeste mensen hoog. Daarom zoekt het kabinet naar oplossingen om huishoudens te helpen de energierekening te kunnen dragen. Met een aangekondigde verlaging van de energiebelasting in 2026 op stroom (-1,24 eurocent per kWh) zullen huishoudens in Nederland er iets op vooruitgaan. Kanttekening is wel dat de energiebelasting op gas met 2,5 eurocent per kuub omhooggaat. Zo blijft er een lichte stimulans om over te stappen van gas naar stroom.
De vermindering energiebelasting op de energierekening stijgt met 5 euro per jaar. De btw op de energierekening wijzigt niet. Ook de sterk fluctuerende leveringskosten in de vorm van energieprijzen, blijven belast met hoge btw. Bovendien zullen de netbeheerkosten naar verwachting fors stijgen in 2026 en de jaren daarna.
Hans de Kok: “De verlaging van energiebelasting voor stroom is een mooie handreiking van het kabinet, maar zal de Nederlander in de praktijk weinig voordeel opleveren. De hoogte van de energierekening in 2026 is nog lastig in te schatten, maar de verminderde belastingdruk zal slechts een marginaal effect hebben.”
Letizia Luijs
PR-manager. Verhalenverteller. Nieuwsjager. Drinkt graag kopjes koffie met journalisten.
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