Prijsvergelijker Pricewise analyseerde de ontwikkeling van de gemiddelde maandprijzen van brandstof (Diesel, Benzine (Euro 95), LPG en olie) vanaf 1 januari 2024 tot en met 11 augustus 2025, op basis van Pricewise-data, CBS-data en internationale olie- en valutamarkten.
Belangrijkste bevindingen juli-augustus 2025
De benzineprijs blijft stabiel, diesel stijgt iets in prijs en ook LPG beweegt licht omhoog.
- Benzine (Euro 95): De maand-op-maandprijs blijft ongeveer gelijk. Vergeleken met een jaar geleden is er een daling van ruim 5 procent in de literprijs.
- Diesel: Maand-op-maand is er een prijsstijging van 3 procent, maar jaar-op-jaar is er juist een daling van 2 procent te zien.
- LPG: De maand-op-maandprijs blijft ongeveer gelijk, terwijl er op jaarbasis een stijging van 4 procent te zien is.
Hans de Kok, directeur Pricewise: “De huidige stabilisatie van benzineprijzen is positief voor automobilisten, maar de onzekerheid blijft groot. De combinatie van een zwakkere dollar en lagere olieprijzen werkt in ons voordeel, maar fiscale maatregelen zoals het terugdraaien van accijnskortingen kunnen in 2026 een forse prijsstijging veroorzaken. Het is cruciaal dat de politiek hierover snel duidelijkheid geeft. Ook de komende dagen blijft het spannend met geopolitieke ontwikkelingen inzake Oekraïne in Alaska. Bij stabiele geopolitiek en ruimer olie aanbod met dalende vraag verwacht Pricewise een stabiel tot licht dalend prijsbeeld richting het najaar. ”
Interactieve grafiek brandstofprijzen
Kopieer hier de code voor de grafiek
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- Benzine: toonde stabilisatie rond 1,92 euro per liter in de zomer van 2025.
- Diesel: daalde sterk in tweede helft 2024, maar toont een opleving in juni 2025 (vanwege het Iran-effect).
- LPG: relatief stabiel sinds mei 2025.
Brent-olie en valuta-effect
De Brent-olieprijs lag meer dan 20 procent onder het niveau van de zomer van 2024, omgerekend in euro’s. Dat komt voor een belangrijk deel door de sterkere euro ten opzichte van de dollar. Brent-olie zelf daalde in dollars met ongeveer 15 procent. Pompprijzen volgen Brent-olie en dollarkoersen met enkele weken vertraging. Daarbij reageert diesel iets sneller dan benzine. Volgens de ACM vinden prijsstijgingen vaker en eerder plaats dan prijsdalingen.
OPEC afbouw vrijwillige productieverlagingen
OPEC+ bevestigde afbouw van vrijwillige productieverlagingen per september 2025. Het IEA verwacht ruimer aanbod en gematigde vraaggroei, wat neerwaartse druk op olieprijzen kan geven in het komend najaar van 2025.
Secundaire handelsbeperkingen olie uit Rusland
Als de VS alsnog besluiten om secundaire handelsbeperkingen op te leggen aan bijvoorbeeld India voor de inkoop van olie uit Rusland, kan dat vraag en aanbod veranderen, ondanks de maatregelen van de OPEC.
Hoe ziet de belastingdruk eruit in 2025 aan de pomp?
- Kostprijs (product- en distributiekosten) en marge: ca. 0,80 euro (42 procent)
- Accijns: ca. 0,79 euro (41 procent)
- BTW (21 procent): ca. 0,33 euro (17 procent) over zowel accijns als kostprijs
Aan de kassa: 1,92 euro per liter benzine (Euro 95)* (indicatief bij €1,92/l benzine)
Letizia Luijs
PR-manager. Verhalenverteller. Nieuwsjager. Drinkt graag kopjes koffie met journalisten.
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