De prijzen voor stroom en gas zijn in mei gedaald, maar stijgen inmiddels weer. Dat betekent dat het voor consumenten kan lonen om de prijzen nu vast te zetten voor de duur van één jaar, adviseert Pricewise in de Barometer Energie.
Stroomprijzen stijgen weer
De kale stroomprijzen zijn vanaf februari bijna vier maanden op rij gedaald. Begin mei is deze daling tot een eind gekomen. Inmiddels zijn de stroomprijzen weer langzaam aan het stijgen. Dat geldt met name voor de vaste stroomprijzen. Deze prijzen zijn in mei gelijk gebleven. De vaste stroomprijzen liggen 5 tot 16 procent onder hun niveau van 2024. De variabele stroomprijzen daalden met 4 procent, maar stijgen sinds medio mei ook weer richting het niveau van de vaste prijzen. De kale stroomprijzen liepen vorig jaar fors uiteen, tot wel 20 procent. Dit is nu nauwelijks meer het geval.
Wat betekent dit voor huishoudens?
De meeste huishoudens gaan meer betalen voor energie vanaf 2025. Dat komt naast de stijgende prijzen voor gas en elektriciteit ook door hogere transportkosten. Zo maakte ACM bekend dat het tarief voor gastransport in 2026 met maar liefst 50 procent omhooggaat. Hierdoor gaan gasgestookte huishoudens ongeveer 20 euro per jaar meer betalen voor gastransport. Ook de kosten voor transport van elektriciteit nemen toe. Hierdoor nemen alle netbeheerkosten verder toe.
Een gezin in een vrijstaande woning betaalt nu gemiddeld € 2360 per jaar voor stroom en gas, inclusief btw en energiebelasting. Door over te stappen naar het goedkoopste contract kunnen hun energiekosten dalen naar circa € 2000 per jaar. Dat is een besparing van € 360.
Bewoners die samen in een tussenwoning in Amsterdam wonen betalen gemiddeld € 1800 per jaar. Zij kunnen circa € 340 besparen door over te stappen.
Interactieve grafiek stroom
Kopieer hier de interactieve grafiek voor stroom
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De gasprijzen zijn in mei gedaald en verder gestabiliseerd. Dat geldt voor zowel vaste als variabele gasprijzen. De prijs voor 1 jaar vast daalde bijna 8 procent, terwijl de prijs voor 3 jaar vast bijna 3 procent daalde. De variabele prijs daalde met 6 procent, al ligt die prijs sinds begin mei vrijwel stil. De vaste gasprijzen zaten eind mei weer een beetje in de lift. Het goedkoopste is nu 1 jaar vast. Deze was een jaar geleden vrijwel hetzelfde geprijsd. De driejarige vaste gasprijs ligt met een stijging van 15 procent een stuk hoger dan mei 2024.
Interactieve grafiek gas
Kopieer hier de interactieve grafiek voor gas
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%Y","ticklabelmode":"period"},"title":{"text":"gemiddelde leveringstarieven gas (exclusief belastingen)","x":0.1},"yaxis":{"title":{"text":"prijs per m\u00b3"},"tickprefix":"\u20ac"},"images":[{"sizex":0.15,"sizey":0.15,"source":"https:\u002f\u002fcdn2.pricewise.nl\u002fresources\u002fmain\u002fsvg\u002flogo_min.svg","x":0.01,"xanchor":"right","xref":"paper","y":1.15,"yanchor":"bottom","yref":"paper"}]}, {"responsive": true} ) }; </script> </div>Regen na zonneschijn
Op de groothandelsmarkt is de termijngasprijs voor volgend jaar met 10 procent gestegen sinds begin mei. Er was minder aanvoer van gas uit Noorwegen wegens jaarlijks onderhoud. Dat zorgt ervoor dat er minder gas beschikbaar is om de gasopslagen te vullen. Omdat er minder windenergie en de afgelopen dagen ook minder zonnestroom werd opgewekt moesten gascentrales bijspringen voor de productie van elektriciteit. De bijdrage van windenergie is dit voorjaar lager dan voorheen (ongeveer 25 procent minder dan 2024). Dit fenomeen heet Dunkelflaute: weinig wind op het moment dat er ook geen zon (daglicht) is. Dit maakt dat de duurzame productie aangevuld dient te worden met gasgestookte opwek van stroom.
Zet prijs vast voor 1 jaar
Hans de Kok, directeur van Pricewise: “Consumenten doen er goed aan hun energiecontract nu vast te zetten voor de duur van één jaar. Dat is gezien alle onvoorspelbaarheid de meest verstandige keuze. De stroomprijzen lijken hun bodem bereikt te hebben en liggen lager dan vorig jaar. De gasprijzen zijn ook gestabiliseerd en stijgen weer licht. Het gasprijsniveau voor 1 jaar vast is gelijk aan vorig jaar. Daarnaast worden er forse welkomstkortingen gegeven en komen er meer slimme energietarieven op de markt.”
Hogere terugleverkosten
Huishoudens met zonnepanelen moesten afgelopen voorjaar alles op alles zetten om hogere terugleverkosten of negatieve stroomprijzen te voorkomen. Het aantal zonuren en daarmee de zonnestroom-opwek was niet eerder zo hoog (70 procent hoger dan in eerste kwartaal 2024). Dit maakt dat alle elektrische apparaten met een hoog verbruik zoveel mogelijk tijdens de zon-daluren ingeschakeld dienen te worden. Sommige energieleveranciers springen daar met producten op in, waar vorig jaar al leveranciers gratis stroom uitdeelden op deze tijdstippen.
Letizia Luijs
PR-manager. Verhalenverteller. Nieuwsjager. Drinkt graag kopjes koffie met journalisten.
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